With the pressure off, Napoli can aim to end an incredible season with a flourish; ideally returning to their freewheeling style of earlier this year. They boast Serie A's best defensive record, but Monza score at a decent rate and it may take two goals to seal three more points for the peerless Partenopei.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Monza win it was 1-0 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.15) 
