Napoli
3 - 1
SPAL

Mertens (4'), Callejon (36'), Younes (78')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Petagna (29')
Valoti (73'), Fares (79'), Felipe (89')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and SPAL at Stadio San Paolo, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	SPAL
61.75%	20.9%	17.36%

Both teams to score 53.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.4%

42.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.99%

65.01%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.73%

13.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.92%

40.08%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.01%

37.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.25%

74.76%

Score Analysis

Napoli 61.74%

SPAL 17.36%

Draw 20.9%

Napoli	Draw	SPAL
2-0 @ 10.28% 1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 6.7% 4-0 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-2 @ 1.64% 5-0 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.18% Total : 61.74%	1-1 @ 9.86% 0-0 @ 5.04% 2-2 @ 4.82% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.9%	0-1 @ 4.88% 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-2 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.55% 1-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.25% Total : 17.36%