Roma
1-1
Lazio

Dzeko (26')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Acerbi (34')

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Rome derby between Roma and Lazio at the Stadio Olimpico, including predictions, team news and lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%).

Result
Roma	Draw	Lazio
41.59%	23.64%	34.77%

Both teams to score 62.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.56%

39.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.21%

61.78%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.69%

19.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.94%

51.06%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.38%

22.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.76%

56.24%

Score Analysis

Roma 41.59%

Lazio 34.77%

Draw 23.63%

Roma	Draw	Lazio
2-1 @ 8.78% 1-0 @ 7.18% 2-0 @ 5.91% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.31% Total : 41.59%	1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.63%	1-2 @ 7.93% 0-1 @ 6.49% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 3.93% 2-3 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.3% Total : 34.77%