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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Jun 28, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Luigi Ferraris
BL

Sampdoria
1 - 2
Bologna

Bonazzoli (88')
Ekdal (57'), Tonelli (66'), Depaoli (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barrow (72' pen.), Orsolini (75')
Medel (58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawBologna
37.32%25.32%37.36%
Both teams to score 56.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.88%47.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.64%69.36%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.24%24.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.67%59.33%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26%24.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.7%59.3%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 37.32%
    Bologna 37.36%
    Draw 25.32%
SampdoriaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 8.55%
2-1 @ 8.34%
2-0 @ 5.97%
3-1 @ 3.88%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 0.97%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 37.32%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.13%
2-2 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 8.56%
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 5.98%
1-3 @ 3.88%
0-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.71%
1-4 @ 1.36%
0-4 @ 0.97%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 37.36%


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