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Serie B | Gameweek 38
Jul 31, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
BL

Ascoli
2 - 4
Benevento

Morosini (49'), Trotta (90+2')
Eramo (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Sau (25'), Barba (32'), Insigne (45'), Moncini (87')
Schiattarella (69')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Benevento.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.

Result
AscoliDrawBenevento
28.07%26.21%45.71%
Both teams to score 50.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.53%53.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.01%74.99%
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.06%33.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.38%70.62%
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66%23.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.71%57.29%
Score Analysis
    Ascoli 28.07%
    Benevento 45.71%
    Draw 26.21%
AscoliDrawBenevento
1-0 @ 8.56%
2-1 @ 6.73%
2-0 @ 4.62%
3-1 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 1.76%
3-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 28.07%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 11.52%
1-2 @ 9.06%
0-2 @ 8.39%
1-3 @ 4.4%
0-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.6%
0-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 45.71%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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