SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pisa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pisa | Draw | Ascoli |
| 46.25% | 26.64% | 27.11% |
| Both teams to score 48.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.37% | 55.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.21% | 76.79% |
| Pisa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% | 24.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.72% | 58.28% |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.13% | 35.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.35% | 72.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Pisa | Draw | Ascoli |
| 1-0 @ 12.28% 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.58% Total : 46.25% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.62% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 1.96% Total : 27.11% |
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