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Serie B | Gameweek 35
Jul 17, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadio Ciro Vigorito

Benevento
3 - 1
Livorno

Sau (31', 69'), Kragl (90+5')
Improta (19'), Schiattarella (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Murilo (57' pen.)
Morelli (22')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Benevento and Livorno.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Livorno had a probability of 16.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.28%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Livorno win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.

Result
BeneventoDrawLivorno
60.46%23.28%16.26%
Both teams to score 44.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.84%54.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.42%75.57%
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.41%17.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.84%48.15%
Livorno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.73%46.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.07%81.92%
Score Analysis
    Benevento 60.45%
    Livorno 16.26%
    Draw 23.28%
BeneventoDrawLivorno
1-0 @ 14.14%
2-0 @ 12.28%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 7.12%
3-1 @ 5.49%
4-0 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.12%
5-0 @ 1.08%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 60.45%
1-1 @ 10.9%
0-0 @ 8.14%
2-2 @ 3.65%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 23.28%
0-1 @ 6.27%
1-2 @ 4.2%
0-2 @ 2.42%
1-3 @ 1.08%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 16.26%


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