Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Livorno had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.28%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Livorno win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.