Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
