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Serie B | Gameweek 4
Oct 20, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli
2 - 1
Reggiana

Sabiri (5' pen.), Bajic (25')
Saric (20'), Pucino (22')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mazzocchi (90')
Varone (16'), Voltan (24'), Zampano (77'), Kirwan (78'), Pezzella (86'), Gyamfi (90'), Mazzocchi (90+3')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Reggiana.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
AscoliDrawReggiana
35.07%26.82%38.11%
Both teams to score 51.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.31%53.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.82%75.18%
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81%29.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87%65.13%
Reggiana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62%27.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15%62.84%
Score Analysis
    Ascoli 35.07%
    Reggiana 38.11%
    Draw 26.81%
AscoliDrawReggiana
1-0 @ 9.84%
2-1 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 6.06%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-0 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 35.07%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 7.99%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 10.35%
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 6.71%
1-3 @ 3.57%
0-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.16%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 38.11%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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