Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 36.34%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 1-0 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.