Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.