Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ascoli | Draw | SPAL |
31.16% | 27.8% | 41.04% |
Both teams to score 47.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.83% | 58.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.18% | 78.82% |
Ascoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.9% | 34.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.22% | 70.78% |
SPAL Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.15% | 27.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.55% | 63.45% |
Score Analysis |
Ascoli | Draw | SPAL |
1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 7.03% 2-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 2.52% 3-0 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.16% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.5% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 12.13% 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 7.76% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.82% Total : 41.03% |
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