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Serie B | Gameweek 15
Dec 27, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
SL

Ascoli
2 - 0
SPAL

Sabiri (28', 75')
Buchel (64'), Pucino (85'), Eramo (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Valoti (25'), Esposito (69'), Thiam (76')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and SPAL.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
AscoliDrawSPAL
31.16%27.8%41.04%
Both teams to score 47.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.83%58.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.18%78.82%
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9%34.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.22%70.78%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15%27.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.55%63.45%
Score Analysis
    Ascoli 31.16%
    SPAL 41.03%
    Draw 27.8%
AscoliDrawSPAL
1-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 7.03%
2-0 @ 5.5%
3-1 @ 2.52%
3-0 @ 1.97%
3-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 31.16%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.5%
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 12.13%
1-2 @ 8.35%
0-2 @ 7.76%
1-3 @ 3.56%
0-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 1.91%
1-4 @ 1.14%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 41.03%

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