Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 60.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 17.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.