Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 53.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 22.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.
