Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Alessandria had a probability of 19.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for an Alessandria win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
