Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alessandria win with a probability of 36.08%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alessandria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (11.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
