SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brescia | Draw | Cittadella |
| 43.42% | 25.79% | 30.79% |
| Both teams to score 53.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.58% | 72.43% |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% | 23.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.99% | 57.02% |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.59% | 30.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.39% | 66.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brescia | Draw | Cittadella |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-0 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.06% Total : 43.42% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.38% 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 3.13% Total : 30.79% |
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