Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.