Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.