Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 61.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Pordenone Calcio win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brescia in this match.