Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 17.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Pordenone Calcio win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
