Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 43.41%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Cesena had a probability of 27.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Cesena win it was 0-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrarese would win this match.

Result
Carrarese	Draw	Cesena
43.41% ( 0.32)	29.1% ( 0.08)	27.49% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 42.4% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.22% (

-0.42)

63.78% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.97% (

-0.3)

83.03% (

0.3)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.74% (

-0.03)

29.26% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.78% (

-0.04)

65.22% (

0.04)

Cesena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.94% (

-0.58)

40.06% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.29% (

-0.54)

76.71% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Carrarese 43.4%

Cesena 27.49%

Draw 29.09%

Carrarese	Draw	Cesena
1-0 @ 14.4% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 43.4%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.09%	0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.38% Total : 27.49%