Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesena would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
