Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Cesena had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Cesena win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.

Result
Catanzaro	Draw	Cesena
39.4% ( 0.06)	28.11% ( -0.02)	32.49% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 47.04% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.01% (

0.06)

58.98% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.54% (

0.05)

79.46% (

-0.05)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.82% (

0.06)

29.17% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89% (

0.08)

65.11% (

-0.09)

Cesena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.42% (

33.57% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.78% (

70.22% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Catanzaro 39.39%

Cesena 32.49%

Draw 28.1%

Catanzaro	Draw	Cesena
1-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 39.39%	1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.1%	0-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.49%