Serie B | Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
Dorval (33')
Mantovani (67'),
Benali (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Cesena.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Cesena had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Cesena win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bari in this match.
Result |
Bari | Draw | Cesena |
41.56% ( -0.19) | 28.23% ( 0.07) | 30.2% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 45.96% ( -0.15) |
40.01% ( -0.2) | 59.99% ( 0.2) |
19.77% ( -0.15) | 80.23% ( 0.15) |
71.57% ( -0.2) | 28.43% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.81% ( -0.25) | 64.19% ( 0.25) |
64.22% ( -0.02) | 35.78% ( 0.02) |