SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 50.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Catanzaro had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Catanzaro win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Catanzaro |
50.8% ( -0.03) | 26.74% ( 0.01) | 22.47% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.33% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.8% ( -0.01) | 59.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.38% ( -0.01) | 79.62% ( 0.01) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( -0.02) | 23.46% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.52% ( -0.03) | 57.48% ( 0.03) |
| Catanzaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.92% ( 0.02) | 42.08% ( -0.02) |
