Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 50.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Catanzaro had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Catanzaro win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.