Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.
-0.42) 
0.2) 
