SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Catanzaro | Draw | Brescia |
42.19% ( -0.42) | 26.84% ( 0.2) | 30.96% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 50.29% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.34% ( -0.71) | 54.65% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.01% ( -0.6) | 75.98% ( 0.59) |
| Catanzaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( -0.54) | 25.6% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.52% ( -0.74) | 60.48% ( 0.74) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.59% ( -0.21) | 32.41% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.08% ( -0.24) | 68.92% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Catanzaro | Draw | Brescia |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.19% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.96% |
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