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Serie B | Gameweek 28
Mar 13, 2021 at 1pm UK
Stadio Via del Mare
CL

Lecce
4 - 2
Chievo

Maggio (9'), Coda (25', 38'), Pettinari (42')
Majer (41'), Pettinari (43'), Maggio (52'), Meccariello (54'), Nikolov (85')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Obi (22'), Mogos (53')
Obi (18'), De Luca (74'), Bertagnoli (79')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Lecce and AC Chievo Verona.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for AC Chievo Verona had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest AC Chievo Verona win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawAC Chievo Verona
41.13%26.11%32.76%
Both teams to score 53.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.81%51.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.97%73.03%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41%24.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.92%59.08%
AC Chievo Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57%29.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57%65.43%
Score Analysis
    Lecce 41.13%
    AC Chievo Verona 32.76%
    Draw 26.11%
LecceDrawAC Chievo Verona
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 7.12%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 41.13%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.24%
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 8.85%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 5.41%
1-3 @ 3.1%
0-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 2.17%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 32.76%

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