Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 49.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Virtus Entella win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.