Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Chievo Verona win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Spezia Calcio had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Chievo Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Spezia Calcio win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Chievo Verona would win this match.