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Serie B | Gameweek 34
Jul 13, 2020 at 8pm UK
Armando Picchi
SC

Livorno
0 - 1
Spezia Calcio


Luci (35')
Coppola (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mastinu (49')
Acampora (10')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Livorno and Spezia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia Calcio win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Livorno had a probability of 23.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia Calcio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Livorno win it was 1-0 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Spezia Calcio in this match.

Result
LivornoDrawSpezia Calcio
23.49%24.25%52.25%
Both teams to score 52.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02%48.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94%71.06%
Livorno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65%35.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89%72.11%
Spezia Calcio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29%18.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.93%50.07%
Score Analysis
    Livorno 23.49%
    Spezia Calcio 52.25%
    Draw 24.24%
LivornoDrawSpezia Calcio
1-0 @ 6.88%
2-1 @ 5.99%
2-0 @ 3.58%
3-1 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.74%
3-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 23.49%
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 6.61%
2-2 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.24%
0-1 @ 11.08%
1-2 @ 9.66%
0-2 @ 9.29%
1-3 @ 5.4%
0-3 @ 5.19%
2-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 2.26%
0-4 @ 2.18%
2-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 52.25%


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