Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Chievo Verona win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Chievo Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Chievo Verona would win this match.