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Serie B | Gameweek 4
Oct 20, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato

Cittadella
2 - 0
Pordenone

Gargiulo (45'), Tavernelli (53')
Iori (29'), Ogunseye (35'), Proia (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Musiolik (16'), Barison (53')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cittadella and Pordenone Calcio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 53.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 22.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Pordenone Calcio win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.

Result
CittadellaDrawPordenone Calcio
53.32%24.44%22.24%
Both teams to score 50.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.01%50.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.14%72.86%
Cittadella Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.93%19.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.34%50.66%
Pordenone Calcio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.35%37.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.57%74.43%
Score Analysis
    Cittadella 53.32%
    Pordenone Calcio 22.24%
    Draw 24.44%
CittadellaDrawPordenone Calcio
1-0 @ 11.89%
2-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 5.45%
3-1 @ 5.32%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 53.32%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 7.18%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.44%
0-1 @ 7.01%
1-2 @ 5.68%
0-2 @ 3.43%
1-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.53%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 22.24%


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