Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.