Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Virtus Entella win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Virtus Entella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.