Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Bari had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.
Result | ||
Como | Draw | Bari |
45.85% ( 0.03) | 26.91% ( -0) | 27.24% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.44% ( -0.01) | 56.56% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.46% ( -0) | 77.54% ( 0) |
Como Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.38% ( 0.01) | 24.62% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.87% ( 0.02) | 59.13% ( -0.02) |
Bari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.73% ( -0.03) | 36.27% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.95% ( -0.03) | 73.05% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Como | Draw | Bari |
1-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 45.84% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.93% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 27.24% |
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