SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Como had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Venezia |
34.43% ( -0.32) | 26.39% ( -0.17) | 39.18% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 52.72% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.99% ( 0.65) | 52% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.26% ( 0.56) | 73.74% ( -0.56) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( 0.12) | 28.76% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.4% ( 0.15) | 64.6% ( -0.15) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( 0.57) | 25.99% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.99% ( 0.76) | 61.01% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Como | Draw | Venezia |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.43% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.18% |
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