Serie B | Gameweek 31
Apr 1, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Palumbo (51' pen.)
Manconi (56'), Pergreffi (78'), Ponsi (81'), Cotali (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Bari.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Bari had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result |
| Modena | Draw | Bari |
39.54% ( -0.12) | 27.65% ( 0.04) | 32.81% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.45% ( -0.09) |
| 42.74% ( -0.12) | 57.26% ( 0.12) |
| 21.89% ( -0.1) | 78.1% ( 0.09) |
| 71.74% ( -0.12) | 28.26% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.03% ( -0.16) | 63.97% ( 0.15) |
| 67.54% ( -0.01) | 32.46% ( 0) |
