SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Como had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bari | Draw | Como |
40.55% ( -0.03) | 27.53% ( 0.08) | 31.92% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.58% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.01% ( -0.31) | 56.99% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.11% ( -0.25) | 77.89% ( 0.25) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% ( -0.16) | 27.56% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.92% ( -0.21) | 63.09% ( 0.21) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.06% ( -0.2) | 32.94% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.49% ( -0.22) | 69.52% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bari | Draw | Como |
| 1-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.54% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.92% |
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