Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.