Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perugia would win this match.
