Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.
