Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Como had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.