Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Como | Draw | Palermo |
40.75% ( -0.18) | 26.6% ( 0.06) | 32.65% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 51.62% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.77% ( -0.18) | 53.22% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.21% ( -0.15) | 74.78% ( 0.15) |
Como Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.29% ( -0.17) | 25.71% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.37% ( -0.24) | 60.62% ( 0.23) |
Palermo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.48% ( -0.01) | 30.51% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.26% ( -0.02) | 66.73% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Como | Draw | Palermo |
1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 40.74% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.65% |
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