Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.55%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
