Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Cittadella
49.55% ( 0.19)	26.14% ( -0.07)	24.3% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 47.81% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.36% (

0.16)

55.64% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.2% (

0.13)

76.79% (

-0.13)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49% (

0.15)

22.5% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.93% (

0.23)

56.07% (

-0.23)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.69% (

-0.03)

38.3% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.94% (

-0.03)

75.05% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Palermo 49.55%

Cittadella 24.3%

Draw 26.13%

Palermo	Draw	Cittadella
1-0 @ 12.85% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 49.55%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.57% Total : 24.3%