Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palermo in this match.
2.83) 
-0.79) 
