Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.