Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 22.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Reggiana win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.