Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
