Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 50.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.